China's Trade Trends: From Expo to Global Growth
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The 7th China International Import Expo (CIIE) has concluded with remarkable achievements.This years event set a new record in scale,attracting 3,496 exhibitors from 129 countries and regions,fully demonstrating global companies confidence in Chinas economic development and the appeal of Chinas mega-sized market.The CIIE has providednew directions for the development of trade and a broad platform for global economic cooperation.
I.Current State of Import and Export Trade
Diversified Trade Structure
The CIIE set a new record in scale,with participation from 104 Belt and Road Initiative countries,13 Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP) countries,and 35 least-developed countries.This reflects Chinas trade policy tilt toward more Belt and Road Initiative countries,RCEP countries,and least-developed countries,providing economic opportunities for these regions while enriching Chinas trade market.
Performance of Key Trade Partners
Major trade partners such as the U.S.Japan,Germany,France,and the U.K.continued to lead in exhibition scale.The U.S.Pavilion exhibitors signed 11 cooperation agreements totaling over $711 million,surpassing last years record of $505 million at the CIIE U.S.Pavilion.
II.New Trade Trends
Rise of Service Trade
Chinas knowledge-intensive service trade related to digitalization and intelligence continues to grow steadily,supporting the quality and efficiency improvements of traditionalindustries.Examples include automation solutions,autonomous driving,innovative drug R&D,new energy storage technologies,and digital finance,all of which are new highlights in Chinas foreign trade growth.
New Blue Ocean of Digital Trade
Digital trade has become a new driver of global economic growth.From 2014 to 2023,the total global import and export volume of digital services grew at an average annual rate of 6%,with a growth rate of 8.5% in 2023.The 2024 World Openness Report also pointed out that digitalization and energy transition pose significant challenges globally,especially for developing countries,but also open new avenues for industrial development and international cooperation.

III.Adjustment Directions and Strategies
Optimize Trade Structure
At present,China’s dependence on bulk raw materials is relatively high.With the implementation of the "carbon reduction and carbon neutrality" goals and the transition to high-tech industries,we should gradually reduce the proportion of raw material-based primary products imported.In the first three quarters of 2024,China’s import volume of integrated circuits reached $281.1 billion,an increase of 11.4% year-on-year; the import volume of crude oil was $248.7 billion,an increase of 0.2% year-on-year,indicating that raw material-based primary products still account for a large proportion of China’s imported goods.Enterprises should actively increase the import of high-tech products to promote the development of new productive forces in China.
Expand Global Cooperation
The current international environment significantly impacts Chinas import and export trade,with geopolitical tensions,bloc formation,and global economic fragmentation posing major obstacles.In response,we should strengthen trade cooperation with various countries,particularly focusing on differences in China-U.S.and China-Europe trade.

At the same time,we should actively expand trade cooperation with Belt and Road Initiative countries,RCEP countries,and least-developed countries,leveraging Chinas diversified trade structure to jointly promote stable global trade development.
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